The Prediction Trade

Trump, Midterms & Trafalgar (#50)

The Trafalgar Group's founder and chief pollster, Robert Cahaly, returns to The Prediction Trade to walk through the 2022 midterms. Cahaly talks about his record-a winner prediction ratio of nearly 92%-and explains how his company approaches polling differently. He shares predictions for several midterm nominations, discusses how a Trump endorsement can flip a race, and contemplates the probability of Joe Biden or Kamala Harris leading the Democratic ticket in 2024.

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